SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
34.5% ( 0.3) | 24.95% ( 0.07) | 40.55% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( -0.28) | 45.69% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( -0.27) | 68.01% ( 0.27) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( 0.05) | 25.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.4% ( 0.06) | 60.6% ( -0.06) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( -0.3) | 22.45% ( 0.31) |
