SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
51.43% ( 0.09) | 23.05% ( -0.04) | 25.51% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.72% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.15% ( 0.13) | 41.85% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.75% ( 0.13) | 64.25% ( -0.13) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( 0.08) | 16.36% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.02% ( 0.14) | 45.98% ( -0.15) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.02) | 29.79% ( -0.03) |
