SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
45.71% ( 0.02) | 24.18% ( -0.02) | 30.1% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.51% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.23% ( 0.09) | 43.76% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% ( 0.09) | 66.15% ( -0.09) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.69% ( 0.04) | 19.3% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.94% ( 0.07) | 51.06% ( -0.08) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( 0.04) | 27.48% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.01% ( 0.06) | 62.98% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shanghai PortShanghai Port | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 35 |
| 3 | Chengdu Qianbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Shandong TaishanShandong | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen | 18 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 28 |
| 7 | Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 8 | Changchun YataiChangchun | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 26 |
| 9 | Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 25 |
| 10 | Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | Qingdao Jonoon | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Meizhou Hakka | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan LongmenHenan | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 16 |
| 14 | Nantong Zhiyun | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Dalian ProDalian Pro | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | Shenzhen | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 48 | -30 | 12 |
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