Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 9.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
