SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
31.57% ( -1.7) | 25.1% ( -0.16) | 43.33% ( 1.86) |
| Both teams to score 56.13% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.78% ( 0.17) | 47.22% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.55% ( 0.16) | 69.45% ( -0.16) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( -0.99) | 28.24% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.05% ( -1.28) | 63.94% ( 1.28) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( 0.96) | 21.79% ( -0.96) |
