Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Henan Songshan Longmen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Henan 3-0 Cangzhou
Monday, October 24 at 8am in Chinese Super League
Monday, October 24 at 8am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Shenzhen 2-1 Hebei
Monday, October 24 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Monday, October 24 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Shenzhen |
34.32% ( 0.39) | 28.96% ( 0.03) | 36.72% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 44.95% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.29% ( -0.06) | 61.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.48% ( -0.05) | 81.52% ( 0.04) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( 0.24) | 33.73% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.61% ( 0.26) | 70.39% ( -0.26) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.3) | 32.16% ( 0.29) |
