Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.
Result | ||
Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
40.42% ( 0.62) | 30.58% ( -0.23) | 28.99% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 39.55% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.37% ( 0.55) | 67.63% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.31% ( 0.37) | 85.69% ( -0.37) |
Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% ( 0.68) | 32.95% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.47% ( 0.75) | 69.53% ( -0.75) |
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.99% ( 0) | 41.01% ( -0.01) |