Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Changchun Yatai in this match.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shenzhen |
45.07% ( 0.02) | 25.95% ( 0) | 28.98% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.01% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% ( -0.02) | 51.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% ( -0.02) | 73.7% ( 0.02) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.01% ( -0) | 22.99% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.21% ( -0.01) | 56.79% ( 0) |
Shenzhen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.54% ( -0.03) | 32.46% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.01% ( -0.03) | 68.98% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shenzhen |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shanghai PortShanghai Port | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 26 |
2 | Chengdu Qianbao | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 23 |
3 | Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 22 |
4 | Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Shandong TaishanShandong | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 17 |
6 | Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
7 | Changchun YataiChangchun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
9 | Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Henan Songshan LongmenHenan | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Shenzhen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 |
12 | Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Meizhou Hakka | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 9 |
14 | Nantong Zhiyun | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Qingdao Jonoon | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
16 | Dalian ProDalian Pro | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
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