SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
47.53% ( -0.14) | 25.7% ( 0.03) | 26.76% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( -0.05) | 52.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( -0.04) | 73.93% ( 0.05) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( -0.08) | 21.97% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.72% ( -0.13) | 55.27% ( 0.13) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% ( 0.06) | 34.32% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.97% ( 0.06) | 71.02% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 47.52% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shanghai PortShanghai Port | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Shandong TaishanShandong | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 54 |
| 3 | Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 51 |
| 4 | Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 48 |
| 6 | Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Chengdu Qianbao | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 44 |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 41 |
| 9 | Changchun YataiChangchun | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 38 |
| 10 | Henan Songshan LongmenHenan | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 35 |
| 11 | Meizhou Hakka | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 54 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 26 |
| 14 | Nantong Zhiyun | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 |
| 15 | Dalian ProDalian Pro | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 | Shenzhen | 27 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 12 |
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