SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Dalian Pro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 10 | -11 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 10 | 0 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.39%) and 0-3 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Shanghai Port |
11.07% ( 0.03) | 20.12% ( -0) | 68.82% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.15% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( 0.07) | 52.21% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( 0.07) | 73.92% ( -0.06) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.77% ( 0.09) | 53.22% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.21% ( 0.06) | 86.79% ( -0.06) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% ( 0.02) | 14.16% ( -0.02) |
