Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.