Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.