We said: Hull City 2-1 Norwich City
Norwich's inconsistency is a concern for Wagner, yet still makes them a threat against a Hull side that has lost its way. Nevertheless, we feel that the Tigers will do enough to earn this contest, potentially with a late goal at the MKM Stadium.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Hull City | Draw | Norwich City |
48.61% ( 0.03) | 23.43% ( -0.01) | 27.96% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( 0.02) |
| 58.4% ( 0.03) | 41.59% ( -0.03) |
| 36% ( 0.03) | 63.99% ( -0.03) |
| 82.69% ( 0.02) | 17.3% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.34% ( 0.04) | 47.66% ( -0.04) |
