SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
30.89% ( -0.83) | 26.93% ( 0.2) | 42.17% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.97% ( -1.06) | 55.03% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.71% ( -0.88) | 76.29% ( 0.88) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( -1.13) | 32.65% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.8% ( -1.28) | 69.19% ( 1.28) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( -0.16) | 25.78% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.27% ( -0.21) | 60.73% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.89% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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