Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
