SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Coventry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
33.99% ( 0.07) | 27.37% ( -0) | 38.64% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% ( 0.02) | 56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% ( 0.02) | 77.09% ( -0.02) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( 0.06) | 31.03% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.66% ( 0.07) | 67.34% ( -0.07) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -0.03) | 28.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.14% ( -0.04) | 63.86% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.98% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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