MX23RW : Tuesday, February 14 20:47:41
SM
Arsenal vs. Man City: 22 hrs 42 mins
Dec 16, 2020 at 7pm UK at Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff
3 - 2
Birmingham
Glatzel (10'), Wilson (78'), Morrison (89')
Bacuna (28'), Ojo (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roberts (31'), Sanchez (57')
Toral (21'), Colin (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
44.06%28.67%27.27%
Both teams to score 43.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.46%62.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.87%82.13%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7%28.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98%64.02%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45%39.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.76%76.23%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.05%
    Birmingham City 27.26%
    Draw 28.67%
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 14.12%
2-0 @ 8.92%
2-1 @ 8.27%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 4.82%
1-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 27.26%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley30208261263568
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30187551242761
3Middlesbrough311561050361451
4Luton TownLuton30131073830849
5Millwall2913793629746
6Watford31121093734346
7Sunderland30129943331045
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn30143133236-445
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom30128103932744
10Norwich CityNorwich30126124035542
11Hull City31118123744-741
12Preston North EndPreston30117122736-940
13Bristol City30109114039139
14Coventry CityCoventry30109113233-139
15Swansea CitySwansea30109114345-239
16Queens Park RangersQPR31109123340-739
17Birmingham CityBirmingham30108123638-238
18Reading30115143345-1238
19Stoke CityStoke3097143338-534
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham30712113340-733
21Cardiff CityCardiff3178162236-1429
22Wigan AthleticWigan3078152849-2129
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield3077162839-1128
24Blackpool30610143045-1528
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