MX23RW : Sunday, December 18 00:16:21
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
37.71%26.21%36.09%
Both teams to score 53.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93%51.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07%72.93%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63%26.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48%61.52%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69%27.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25%62.75%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 37.71%
    Stoke City 36.09%
    Draw 26.2%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.71%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.2%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 9.35%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 3.5%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.09%

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