Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Leeds United |
29.63% ( 0.02) | 23.94% ( -0) | 46.43% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.07% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% ( 0.03) | 42.9% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% ( 0.03) | 65.3% ( -0.02) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% ( 0.03) | 27.37% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.17% ( 0.04) | 62.83% ( -0.03) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% ( 0.01) | 18.67% ( -0) |