SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Sheffield United |
30.89% ( -0.05) | 28.75% ( 0) | 40.35% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.8% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.44% ( -0.01) | 61.55% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.59% ( -0.01) | 81.41% ( 0.01) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% ( -0.04) | 36.1% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.11% ( -0.04) | 72.88% ( 0.05) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% ( 0.02) | 29.88% ( -0.02) |
