MX23RW : Saturday, February 25 22:44:59
SM
EFL Cup final: 17 hrs 45 mins
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK at St Andrew's
Birmingham
3 - 0
Luton
Bacuna (25'), Taylor (46'), Hernandez (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Osho (85')

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham are likely to get on the scoresheet on Saturday, as they have done so in all of their matches in recent weeks, but Luton's momentum could be the difference between the sides this weekend. Jones's side's good form will stand them in good stead to collect three points this weekend, and the visitors will feel they must beat teams in the lower half of the table if they are serious contenders for a top-six spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
27.84%27.69%44.46%
Both teams to score 46.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.99%59.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.52%79.48%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89%37.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11%73.89%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.84%
    Luton Town 44.46%
    Draw 27.68%
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 13.04%
0-2 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.28%
1-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.46%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley342210268284076
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33197755302564
3Middlesbrough341761156401657
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn34174133838055
5Millwall33158104133853
6Luton TownLuton33141184032853
7Norwich CityNorwich341571248371152
8Watford341311104138350
9Sunderland3413101149381149
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom33139114436848
11Coventry CityCoventry33139113734348
12Preston North EndPreston33129123038-845
13Bristol City331111114341244
14Reading33135153848-1044
15Swansea CitySwansea33119134650-442
16Hull City34119143848-1042
17Stoke CityStoke34117163941-240
18Queens Park RangersQPR34109153549-1439
19Birmingham CityBirmingham34108163846-838
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham33812133645-936
21Cardiff CityCardiff3498172538-1335
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield3387183047-1731
23Blackpool34710173351-1831
24Wigan AthleticWigan33710163052-2231
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