SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
56% ( 0.35) | 21.69% ( -0.05) | 22.31% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.6% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0.11) | 38.92% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( -0.12) | 61.24% ( 0.12) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( 0.07) | 13.81% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.84% ( 0.14) | 41.16% ( -0.14) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.32) | 30.84% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.88% ( -0.38) | 67.12% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 56% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 22.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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