Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Internacional and Santos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Bragantino
Thursday, September 29 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Thursday, September 29 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Santos 2-0 Athletico PR
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in Brasileiro
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Santos had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Internacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Santos |
62.2% ( 0.56) | 22.53% ( -0.14) | 15.28% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 44.34% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( -0.18) | 52.93% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% ( -0.15) | 74.54% ( 0.15) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( 0.13) | 16.55% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.69% ( 0.23) | 46.31% ( -0.23) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.13% ( -0.69) | 46.87% ( 0.69) |
