Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Santos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Ceara
Sunday, September 4 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 4 at 3pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Botafogo | 25 | -5 | 30 |
| 15 | Ceara | 25 | -1 | 28 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 25 | -7 | 26 |
Last Game: Santos 1-2 Goias
Tuesday, September 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, September 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | America Mineiro | 25 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Santos | 25 | 6 | 34 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 26 | 3 | 33 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Santos |
50.73% ( -0.03) | 26.42% ( 0) | 22.86% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.6% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.23% ( 0) | 57.78% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% ( 0) | 78.51% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -0.01) | 22.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.37% ( -0.01) | 56.64% ( 0.02) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.13% ( 0.03) | 40.87% ( -0.03) |
