Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
1.83) 
-1.94) 
