Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Santos had a probability of 25.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
