SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 24 | 5 | 42 |
| 6 | Athletico Paranaense | 25 | 2 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Flamengo | 24 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | Internacional | 24 | 15 | 42 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 25 | 9 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Internacional |
49.69% ( 0.26) | 27.79% ( -0.05) | 22.52% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 41.76% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.45% ( 0) | 62.55% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.86% ( 0) | 82.14% ( -0) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( 0.13) | 25.46% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.71% ( 0.17) | 60.29% ( -0.17) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.03% ( -0.21) | 43.97% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.9% ( -0.17) | 80.1% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Internacional |
| 1-0 @ 15.31% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 49.68% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 62 | 32 | 30 | 66 |
| 2 | Atletico Mineiro | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 66 |
| 3 | Botafogo | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 63 |
| 4 | FlamengoFlamengo | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 63 |
| 5 | Gremio | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 62 |
| 6 | BragantinoBragantino | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 59 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 56 |
| 8 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | InternacionalInternacional | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 52 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | FortalezaFortaleza | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 48 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 47 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 45 |
| 15 | SantosSantos | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 43 |
| 16 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | Bahia | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 41 |
| 18 | GoiasGoias | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 35 |
| 19 | Coritiba | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 30 |
| 20 | America MineiroAmerica Mineiro | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 78 | -39 | 21 |
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