SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Bragantino |
50.49% ( 0.06) | 25.89% ( -0) | 23.62% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.83% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.74% ( -0.05) | 55.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.51% ( -0.04) | 76.49% ( 0.04) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( 0.01) | 21.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.79% ( 0.01) | 55.21% ( -0.01) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.27% ( -0.08) | 38.73% ( 0.09) |
