Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Santos had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.
0.07) 
-0.07) 
