SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Santos had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Santos |
45.81% ( 0.18) | 26.33% ( -0.03) | 27.86% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.98% ( 0.04) | 54.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% ( 0.03) | 75.45% ( -0.03) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 0.1) | 23.52% ( -0.11) |
