SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cuiaba | Draw | Gremio |
39.4% ( 0.07) | 28.15% ( -0.04) | 32.45% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.93% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.87% ( 0.13) | 59.12% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.43% ( 0.1) | 79.57% ( -0.1) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.11) | 29.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.81% ( 0.13) | 65.19% ( -0.13) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( 0.05) | 33.68% ( -0.05) |
