Perhaps a new coach will eventually steer Coritiba back on course, but there is no evidence to suggest that will occur in this upcoming match, as this team have looked overwhelmed and intimidated when playing in enemy territory.
Goias have not been much better, but they have at least kept most of their league fixtures close this year, which is why we are leaning towards them to emerge from this contest with three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
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