Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
