Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 43.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Goias had a probability of 27.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
