SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Corinthians |
64.07% ( 0.14) | 21.7% ( -0.12) | 14.23% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.27% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.33% ( 0.43) | 51.67% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.55% ( 0.38) | 73.45% ( -0.37) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.51% ( 0.19) | 15.49% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.63% ( 0.36) | 44.37% ( -0.36) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.23) | 47.62% ( -0.23) |
