SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
44.95% ( -0.22) | 26.14% ( -0.08) | 28.91% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% ( 0.45) | 52.74% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% ( 0.39) | 74.37% ( -0.39) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( 0.09) | 23.38% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.64% ( 0.13) | 57.36% ( -0.13) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.47) | 32.91% ( -0.47) |
