SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Flamengo |
23.67% ( 1.45) | 24.92% ( 0.45) | 51.41% ( -1.89) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( -0.37) | 51.52% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( -0.32) | 73.32% ( 0.33) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.4% ( 1.16) | 36.6% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.61% ( 1.14) | 73.39% ( -1.14) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( -0.9) | 20.04% ( 0.9) |
