SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Fortaleza |
40.69% ( 0.48) | 27.51% ( -0.02) | 31.79% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 48.58% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( -0.02) | 56.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.13% ( -0.02) | 77.87% ( 0.02) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( 0.26) | 27.47% ( -0.26) |
