Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
Result | ||
Bragantino | Draw | Santos |
57.92% ( 0.54) | 24.86% ( -0.12) | 17.22% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 41.91% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.63% ( -0.13) | 58.36% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.02% ( -0.1) | 78.97% ( 0.1) |
Bragantino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.87% ( 0.16) | 20.13% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.6% ( 0.26) | 52.4% ( -0.26) |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.47% ( -0.6) | 47.53% ( 0.6) |