Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
