Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
