Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.
