Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Fluminense win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
