SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 87.78%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 3.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 4-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 0-1 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | RFC Seraing |
87.78% ( 0.43) | 8.67% ( -0.26) | 3.54% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 40.73% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.49% ( 0.36) | 27.51% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.87% ( 0.46) | 48.12% ( -0.46) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.96% ( 0.12) | 4.04% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 83% ( 0.41) | 16.99% ( -0.42) |
| RFC Seraing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.45% ( -0.55) | 57.55% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.65% ( -0.31) | 89.35% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | RFC Seraing |
| 3-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 5.68% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)7-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.06% Total : 87.77% | 1-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.4% Total : 8.67% | 0-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.12% Total : 3.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | GentGent | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Leuven | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 48 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 28 |
| R | Zulte WaregemZulte | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 76 | -39 | 27 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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