SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Mechelen |
35.95% ( 0.63) | 26.22% ( 0.04) | 37.83% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( -0.11) | 51.15% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( -0.09) | 72.99% ( 0.09) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( 0.33) | 27.42% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( 0.42) | 62.9% ( -0.42) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( -0.42) | 26.34% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( -0.56) | 61.48% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Mechelen |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.83% |
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