SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sint-Truiden in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Standard Liege |
47.12% ( -0.21) | 24.7% ( 0.2) | 28.19% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.52% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( -0.85) | 47.14% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( -0.8) | 69.38% ( 0.8) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( -0.43) | 20.07% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.7% ( -0.69) | 52.31% ( 0.7) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( -0.43) | 30.55% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.23% ( -0.51) | 66.77% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.12% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GentGent | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Anderlecht | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 10 |
| 5 | MechelenMechelen | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Union SGUnion SG | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | EupenEupen | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Genk | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Sint-Truiden | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | RWD MolenbeekRWDM | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Leuven | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | CharleroiCharleroi | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Standard Liege | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Westerlo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 | KortrijkKortrijk | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
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