SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
37.45% ( -0.83) | 26.88% ( -0.18) | 35.67% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.09% ( 0.81) | 53.91% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( 0.68) | 75.37% ( -0.68) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.09) | 27.86% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.53% ( -0.12) | 63.47% ( 0.12) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( 1.03) | 28.92% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.2% ( 1.26) | 64.8% ( -1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 60 | 23 | 37 | 62 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 50 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | GentGent | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 39 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | Sint-Truiden | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 35 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 34 |
| 11 | Leuven | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 32 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 31 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | EupenEupen | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | KortrijkKortrijk | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 21 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 18 |
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