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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Het Kuipje
KM
Westerlo
2 - 3
Mechelen
Stassin (20'), Frigan (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Schoofs (75'), Madsen (77' og.), Lauberbach (85')
Storm (40'), Defour (41'), Bates (45+5')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Westerlo and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Anderlecht 2-1 Westerlo
Sunday, August 20 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 4-0 Union SG
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.

Result
WesterloDrawMechelen
32.76% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 42.74%
Both teams to score 58.68% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.89% (0.013999999999996 0.01)44.1% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.48% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Westerlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (0.013000000000005 0.01)60.98% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)53.37% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Westerlo 32.76%
    Mechelen 42.74%
    Draw 24.5%
WesterloDrawMechelen
2-1 @ 7.7%
1-0 @ 7.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.76%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-1 Westerlo
Sunday, August 20 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Westerlo 1-3 Gent
Sunday, August 13 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Westerlo 0-1 Brugge
Sunday, August 6 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Eupen 2-2 Westerlo
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 2-0 Westerlo
Saturday, June 3 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Westerlo 1-3 Gent
Saturday, May 27 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 4-0 Union SG
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RWDM 1-0 Mechelen
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 0-1 Gent
Sunday, August 6 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Mechelen
Sunday, July 30 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 1-1 Mechelen (5-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 23 at 5pm in Belgian Super Cup
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-3 Mechelen
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Union SGUnion SG1181226131325
2Anderlecht106311610621
3GentGent105501610620
4Royal AntwerpAntwerp114521981117
5Club BruggeBrugge1144323121116
6Genk103611610615
7Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge105051211115
8RWD MolenbeekRWDM114341220-815
9Standard Liege10343109113
10Sint-Truiden103431114-313
11CharleroiCharleroi113441317-413
12MechelenMechelen103251112-111
13EupenEupen113171426-1210
14Leuven102351419-59
15KortrijkKortrijk11227922-138
16Westerlo111371120-96
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