SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.95%) and 0-1 (6.62%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Gent |
24.52% ( -0.01) | 20.98% ( -0.01) | 54.49% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.16% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.05) | 32.91% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.37% ( 0.05) | 54.62% ( -0.05) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.02) | 25.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.34% ( 0.02) | 60.66% ( -0.02) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.73% ( 0.02) | 12.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.99% ( 0.04) | 38.01% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.52% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.98% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0)0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 4.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.46% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.07% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 54.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | GentGent | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Leuven | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 48 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 28 |
| R | Zulte WaregemZulte | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 76 | -39 | 27 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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