SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Mechelen win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
18.35% ( -0.03) | 19.45% ( 0.01) | 62.2% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.08% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.98% ( -0.11) | 34.02% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.11% ( -0.13) | 55.89% ( 0.13) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( -0.1) | 31.72% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.86% ( -0.12) | 68.14% ( 0.12) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.45% ( -0.03) | 10.55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.73% ( -0.06) | 34.27% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 4.96% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 18.35% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.57% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 62.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 72 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | GentGent | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | Leuven | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | CharleroiCharleroi | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 48 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 28 |
| R | Zulte WaregemZulte | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 27 |
| R | KV OostendeOostende | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 76 | -39 | 27 |
| R | RFC Seraing | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 68 | -40 | 20 |
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